New Laws to Boost Economics on EGX’s 8 million Oz. Deposit
On June 5, 2014
Ecuador announced plans to modernize its mining laws and offer tax
incentives designed to attract foreign investors. This may be the
biggest resource policy shift in modern history not triggered by an
election.
“Our
mining laws have been a total disaster,” admitted Ecuadorian President
Rafael Correa on national radio, “It has been a failure on the part of
the government. We have made mistakes due to our lack of experience. We
can’t be infantile. I’m not disposed to wait any longer.”
The government is planning to abolish the windfall tax (which torpedoed Kinross Gold’s (KGC-NYSE) investment in the massive Fruta del Norte gold) mine and make other improvements to attract mining investments. “These new incentives
will help us attract investment in all different steps of the process,”
stated strategic Sectors Minister Rafael Poveda.
One of the country’s most active explorers – Ecuador Gold and Copper (EGX-TSX.V)
controls five deposits within the Condor Complex in southeast Ecuador:
1) Santa Barbara 2) Los Cuyes 3) Soledad 4) El Hito and 5) Chinapintza
(Joint Venture with China) and has spent the last two years conducting
an extensive 22,500 meter drill program.
On
March 24, 2014, after the completion of Phase ll drilling, EGX
announced a significantly expanded resource estimate for the Santa
Barbara South and North Zones. The company’s indicated and inferred gold
resources in Ecuador increased 26% to 8 million gold ounces indicated;
2.6 million gold ounces inferred with a cost of discovery of US$2 per
ounce.
The
economics of the EGX deposit could look very different in this new
taxation world. With a current valuation of $2 per indicated
ounce-in-the ground vs. a global average of about $30 – the stock has a
lot of room to run.
“President Rafael
Correa has realised that if you don’t have an attractive investment
regime, the mining industry cannot survive,” states EGX CEO Glenn Laing
in an exclusive interview with Financial Press, “Up to this point, the
only large major investor in Ecuador has been the Chinese.”
Ecuador is one of the last largely
unexplored mining frontiers. With Colombia to the north, Peru to the
south, the minerals-rich Andes Mountains straddles all three countries.
“When you attract only
a handful of juniors, it’s an indication that investors are reluctant
to put money in at a highly speculative stage,” states Laing, “The
junior mining business model is to find a good asset, drill it, and sell
it. But you hit a stumbling block in the selling phase if the taxation
regime is punitive. The good news for EGX is that the penny has dropped.
Correa knew he had to make some changes.”
Laing gives Correa
credit for commissioning a study from the internationally-recognized
consulting company Wood Mackenzie, who looked at the numbers and
realised there was a problem.
“Under existing tax
regimes if you added up all the taxes on a mining investment in Ecuador,
about 52% of the profits went to the government – and 48% to the mining
company,” states Laing, “And then the ‘windfall’ tax could ramp the
taxation level to 70%.” Money goes where it grows and the old Ecuadorian profit-sharing scheme did not incentivise international investors.
“When Kinross was
negotiating their fiscal deal with the government, gold was on a rampage
and heading towards $1,900,” states Laing, “President Correa looks out
for his people, which is great, but if you take too much of the cherry,
the investors go away. At the EGX Condor Complex we already have the
large resource base, and now we have a fiscal regime that will
incentivise investors.”
President Correa has a
reputation for decisiveness. Because he controls the vast majority of
the seats in the assembly, it is anticipated that Correa will push the
new mining laws through quickly. This will radically change the
economics of EGX’s 8 million indicated ounce Santa Barbara deposit.
“Ecuador Copper and
Gold has a bulk, low-grade deposit so it is important to achieve maximum
metals extraction,” stated Laing, “The first phase of the metallurgical
test work for the Preliminary Economic Assessment for Santa Barbara
gave us 86% gold recovery and 64% copper recovery. We believe we can
improve on that, so now we are doing additional metallurgical test work
to get better metal recovery rates, particularly with the saleable
copper concentrates.” Increased recovery
rates mean more revenue per ton, which improves the economics of the
mine, as the operating costs remain the same. Laing believes the best
thing that EGX can do with its time and money is to improve the
metallurgy and optimize its mining plans. ” Every deposit presents unique metallurgical challenges. This deposit necessitates grinding the ore very fine.”
“With
the new more favourable mining laws and the large size of our deposit,
EGX is close to a tipping point,” states Laing, “ Following the
completion of the metallurgical work and the release of a Preliminary
Economic Assessment (PEA), we anticipate intensified interest from
international miners and financiers to take EGX to the next stage.”
“People
say mining is ugly,” stated President Correa, who has a PhD in
Economics from the University of Illinois, “It’s not ugly, it’s the
opposite of ugly. Misery is ugly.”
Ecuador Copper and Gold is trading at .07 with a market cap of $16.5 million.
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CONTACT: Ecuador Gold and Copper Corp. 5000 Yonge St. Suite 1901 Toronto, Ontario M2N 7E9 Phone: 1-416-227-3402 Fax: 1-416-628-3801 info@ecuadorgoldandcopper.com
http://financialpress.com/2014/06/16/ecuador-gives-mining-industry-a-big-wet-kiss/
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